I agree with everything but would add a fourth unofficial rule that focuses on the reason everything is happening in the first place: 8 teams is enough to remain an official conference but not enough for a TV contract.Catprint wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2024 12:24 amRules are hard to follow but...
1) For NCAA post-season basketball, a conference has to have 7 core institutions.
2) For Football, the magic number seems to be 8.
3) So the MWC needs only one full-time BB and FB member.
However, as others have pointed out, 8 members makes scheduling difficult and also would make the MWC the smallest FBS conference except for the PeeWee-12 which is also struggling to make grade.
News was very quiet on 25 September except the late breaking news that UNLV and Air Force will stay in the Mountain West as reported and some shadow boxing on the Pac-12 lawsuit. I would say it is at least probable that the MWC will counter sue.
As far as the 8th member for each conference.....
Pac-12 - 1) could still be UNLV; 2) could be another MWC school; 3) could be a Conf-USA school. But it won't be an FCS school. Not a 1% chance
MWC - 1) Could be New Mexico State; 2) Could be Utep; 3) Could be some other dredged up team from C-USA or AAC, 4) Could But i think it is highly unlikely they will go after FCS elite - MSU, UM, NDSU, SDSU.....
Also, Sac State has an entire feasibility study on moving up to FBS and have a full committee pushing it and making lots of noise - even to join the Pac-12! Maybe so, large market but "The Nest" is the worst college basketball stadium in the US, most high schools have a better gym. But this points to you don't have to wait for an invite. Your school and its boosters can probe, politic, pressure, etc to be in the conversation. Seems like a leap but maybe for the 8th school, the MWC takes Sac State rather than retreads like New Mexico State. Just a thought.
This is especially true for the PAC and MWC. The PAC is just the two teams that nobody wanted for TV market reasons and MWC teams that already don't get much TV money (plus Gonzaga which probably pulls in decent basketball money but is a zero for football). The MWC lost their only real football draw (BSU) and the other bigger market teams. It's not going to matter which one or two teams the conferences add, they're not getting much TV money.
The idea situation would have been for the PAC to absorb the entire MWC. The only reason I can think of for that not happening is that the MWC administrators figured they'd be out of a job so they convinced all the schools to shut that conversation down. Maybe the PAC wouldn't take the bottom one or two schools but that wouldn't have been enough of a reason to blow up a merger. Now, instead of one average conference we have two incomplete below average conferences. They both deserve terrible TV deals for not being able to figure out how to come together.