Big Sky Conference Week 3

[Prodigal Cat]

Now back to a more full slate of games with only the dam cup teams on an open week. Went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread last week (the stupid hook got us in Cheney). 10-1 straight up and 8-3 against the spread on the season.

Cal Poly @ UM(-18.5). Cal Poly is 3rd in the conference in passing and the griz are 9th in defense against it. They got exposed a bit last week so do they make the necessary adjustments? Griz are 1-4 vs these large spreads they've been getting only covering Indiana State. Griz win but CP covers

UNC @ Idaho(-16) Idaho are frauds. They have 2 wins and neither were impressive and UNC has a little defense. Idaho wins but Bears Cover

NAU @ Davis(-5) Davis is a Jekyll and Hyde team which shouldn't surprise with a freshman at QB. They also lost Rex Conners for the season which is a bummer for a kid with NFL talent. I wasn't super impressed with Pennington last week but they run an RPO scheme that doesn't work if O-line can hold up for any amount of time and the backend can cover well. Gimmie the Aggies to win and cover but not much confidence in it.

Sac St vs Weber(+8.5) Weber is not very talented. Sac is but not playing like it at times. Weber is near the bottom of all the Defensive categories Sac wins and covers. The O/U is 54.5 and if you can get that line the over is the bet of the week

ISU @ MSU(-18.5) Griz beat the Bengals because they were able to generate pressure late that they couldn't in the first half. I don't think that is a problem for the Cats. They will move Cooke off his spot and do it without needing to blitz. Easy win and cover for the Cats


BSC tiers in my opinion
1. Cream of the crop
MSU, UM
2. Playoff worthy but not guaranteed
Davis, NAU
3.Big middle that could win a game they shouldn't
Idaho, Sac St, Cal Poly, ISU
4. Basement
EWU, PSU, Weber, UNC

[JoeCatsJoe]

I wonder if UNC belongs in that middle tier this year. I suppose they will have a chance to bump themselves up, but I think they could be a little frisky this year.

[Prodigal Cat]

I wonder if UNC belongs in that middle tier this year. I suppose they will have a chance to bump themselves up, but I think they could be a little frisky this year.

I thought about them there but eventually they need to win. Their wins came against a D2 and one of the worst FCS team in the nation. If they beat USD or IDST they are probably there but they didn't.

[JoeCatsJoe]

I wonder if UNC belongs in that middle tier this year. I suppose they will have a chance to bump themselves up, but I think they could be a little frisky this year.

I thought about them there but eventually they need to win. Their wins came against a D2 and one of the worst FCS team in the nation. If they beat USD or IDST they are probably there but they didn't.

That’s fair. Perhaps friskier than past years, but not out of the bottom tier.

[Prodigal Cat]

Now back to a more full slate of games with only the dam cup teams on an open week. Went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread last week (the stupid hook got us in Cheney). 10-1 straight up and 8-3 against the spread on the season.

Cal Poly @ UM(-18.5). Cal Poly is 3rd in the conference in passing and the griz are 9th in defense against it. They got exposed a bit last week so do they make the necessary adjustments? Griz are 1-4 vs these large spreads they've been getting only covering Indiana State. Griz win but CP covers

UNC @ Idaho(-16) Idaho are frauds. They have 2 wins and neither were impressive and UNC has a little defense. Idaho wins but Bears Cover

NAU @ Davis(-5) Davis is a Jekyll and Hyde team which shouldn't surprise with a freshman at QB. They also lost Rex Conners for the season which is a bummer for a kid with NFL talent. I wasn't super impressed with Pennington last week but they run an RPO scheme that doesn't work if O-line can hold up for any amount of time and the backend can cover well. Gimmie the Aggies to win and cover but not much confidence in it.

Sac St vs Weber(+8.5) Weber is not very talented. Sac is but not playing like it at times. Weber is near the bottom of all the Defensive categories Sac wins and covers. The O/U is 54.5 and if you can get that line the over is the bet of the week

ISU @ MSU(-18.5) Griz beat the Bengals because they were able to generate pressure late that they couldn't in the first half. I don't think that is a problem for the Cats. They will move Cooke off his spot and do it without needing to blitz. Easy win and cover for the Cats


BSC tiers in my opinion
1. Cream of the crop
MSU, UM
2. Playoff worthy but not guaranteed
Davis, NAU
3.Big middle that could win a game they shouldn't
Idaho, Sac St, Cal Poly, ISU
4. Basement
EWU, PSU, Weber, UNC

4-1 Straight up, 4-1 versus the spread. Overall 14-2 straight up, 12-4 versus the spread on the season.

Felt like I was correct even in my losses but got the wrong result. Said Idaho were frauds but tough to pick UNC to actually win. Said Cal Poly would give the griz a game and only missed covering by .5.