2006 Big Sky Conference Football Projections

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:39 pm

This project started out small--charting the MSU football program--then ballooned into the entire conference. I hope you enjoy the charts and projections.

http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/

Post by **SonomaCat** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:47 pm

That's a fascinating application of stats and forecasting. I hope it's right.

Have you applied this kind of analysis to investing? If so, has it worked well for you?

HelenaCat95 · Post by **HelenaCat95** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 4:18 pm

This is very interesting, and I hope correct.
I did not understand the explanation on how you combine geometry and natural vibration. Do you have a "dumbed down" version that you can share, so that even I can understand.

Seriously, I'm curious and would like to know how you came about this.
Thanks.

Obzerver · Post by **Obzerver** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 5:19 pm

You had me hook, line and sinker until the prediction had ISU at 1-7. They have perhaps the best team they've had in years and even though they seem to find a way to lose...they do have NAU, WSU, SS and MSU at home where they are pretty tough(4-1 last season). Oh yeah, I think EWU will finish better than seventh but I am impressed on the data and in the BSC anything can happen!

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 5:59 pm

Bay Area Cat,
http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/stockmarket.htm

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 6:03 pm

Obzerver wrote:You had me hook, line and sinker until the prediction had ISU at 1-7. They have perhaps the best team they've had in years and even though they seem to find a way to lose...they do have NAU, WSU, SS and MSU at home where they are pretty tough(4-1 last season). Oh yeah, I think EWU will finish better than seventh but I am impressed on the data and in the BSC anything can happen!

ISU will probably have more than 1 win but they will have a below average year. The bottom 4-5 teams are tough to predict. All I look for are trends or nodal points (changes in trends or accelerations). ISU is at a nodal point and should continue to lose.

VictorG · Post by **VictorG** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 7:32 pm

Pretty funny stuff! Can't wait till eGriz gets his eGriz bucks betting system on line. I'm still saying Griz are 10 - 1 for the OOC and Conference season. I would suggest you guys get over to eGriz and start earning your eGriz bucks so I can get them! Gtapp is going to be indebted to me for life I bet!!!!

94VegasCat · Post by **94VegasCat** » Sun Jul 30, 2006 9:14 pm

KillintheGriz wrote:This project started out small--charting the MSU football program--then ballooned into the entire conference. I hope you enjoy the charts and projections.

http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/

Great stuff!!! Well done

gtapp · Post by **gtapp** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:06 am

VictorG wrote:Pretty funny stuff! Can't wait till eGriz gets his eGriz bucks betting system on line. I'm still saying Griz are 10 - 1 for the OOC and Conference season. I would suggest you guys get over to eGriz and start earning your eGriz bucks so I can get them! Gtapp is going to be indebted to me for life I bet!!!!

I already am! You keep reminding me how great it is to be a Cat fan! But put me down for $1M egriz $ on the griz finishing third. Once I win I can buy a "griz suck" shirt on egriz shopping.

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Mon Sep 18, 2006 1:13 pm

I've updated the website. I stated in my original article MSU should start winning after a loss to UC Davis. PSU is a strong team this year as projected. ISU looks stronger that I tought but at the end of the year they should be in the bottom 1/3 of the conference.

http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/
http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/stockmarket.htm

grizzh8r · Post by **grizzh8r** » Fri Sep 22, 2006 5:25 pm

KillintheGriz wrote:I've updated the website. I stated in my original article MSU should start winning after a loss to UC Davis. PSU is a strong team this year as projected. ISU looks stronger that I tought but at the end of the year they should be in the bottom 1/3 of the conference.

http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/
http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/stockmarket.htm

Man I sure hope so...

CO CATS!

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 2:01 pm

updated website.
http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/
http://www.freewebs.com/implicitorder/stockmarket.htm

crazycat · Post by **crazycat** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 2:10 pm

I'm buying! I'm buying! What you're saying, that is. I just have this weird feeling that something very good is about to happen.

Seriously I like what you're doing with this.

bobcatmaniac · Post by **bobcatmaniac** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:55 pm

Fun to look at, but I am beginning to think you in a former life were a Jamaican woman who fortold the future...come on, be honest with us...

grizwiz · Post by **grizwiz** » Thu Sep 28, 2006 10:45 pm

I wasn't sure if I was reading todays stock report or reading a new script for "Animal House II". That openning argument was great!!!

biobengal · Post by **biobengal** » Fri Sep 29, 2006 9:38 am

"The Bengals are in for a serious slide. This team will one of the biggest surprises in 2006—in regards to how they find a way to lose. I see turmoil and coaching changes coming for this program."

Interesting. ISU fans are calling for a coaching change. They've also lost two games they should have won.

Bleedinbluengold · Post by **Bleedinbluengold** » Fri Sep 29, 2006 1:08 pm

"MSU lost against EWU so the Cats may be in for a volatile rest of the season. "

Volatile (in broker-speak) means, DOWN. Buying agressively? I would buy cautiously, in little increments, and be ready to bail if they don't make a higher low.

I think you buy the winner of the PSU-UM game, and sell the loser. They are both at technically significant turning points.

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 9:34 am

Bleedinbluengold wrote:"MSU lost against EWU so the Cats may be in for a volatile rest of the season. "

Volatile (in broker-speak) means, DOWN. Buying agressively? I would buy cautiously, in little increments, and be ready to bail if they don't make a higher low.

I think you buy the winner of the PSU-UM game, and sell the loser. They are both at technically significant turning points.

MSU has a low risk/high reward trading opportunity. From EWU's loss, the risk is 4pts (games) with a reward of 20 pts (games) to first high and a 60 pt (game) rally to next high. This is a 5:1 short term and 15:1 reward/risk ratio. Buy aggressively. Enter into leveraged positions above trading range high. Avoid shorting PSU and write covered calls on UM as this program (stock) is entering a trading range where time premium can be captured without selling the stock.

Go Scats Go · Post by **Go Scats Go** » Sat Sep 30, 2006 3:16 pm

THIS WHOLE THREAD is

KillintheGriz · Post by **KillintheGriz** » Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:47 pm

FYI: It took 109 years but as of last weekend with the win over Eastern Washington, the Montana Grizzlies finally made it back to the zero line and the level they began in 1897. Everyone believes the grizzlies are unbeatable the rest of the season. I disagree.

2006 Big Sky Conference Football Projections

2006 Big Sky Conference Football Projections

Re: 2006 Big Sky Conference Football Projections