Big Sky Conference Week 3
Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2025 8:22 am
Now back to a more full slate of games with only the dam cup teams on an open week. Went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread last week (the stupid hook got us in Cheney). 10-1 straight up and 8-3 against the spread on the season.
Cal Poly @ UM(-18.5). Cal Poly is 3rd in the conference in passing and the griz are 9th in defense against it. They got exposed a bit last week so do they make the necessary adjustments? Griz are 1-4 vs these large spreads they've been getting only covering Indiana State.
Griz win but CP covers
UNC @ Idaho(-16) Idaho are frauds. They have 2 wins and neither were impressive and UNC has a little defense. Idaho wins but Bears Cover
NAU @ Davis(-5) Davis is a Jekyll and Hyde team which shouldn't surprise with a freshman at QB. They also lost Rex Conners for the season which is a bummer for a kid with NFL talent. I wasn't super impressed with Pennington last week but they run an RPO scheme that doesn't work if O-line can hold up for any amount of time and the backend can cover well. Gimmie the Aggies to win and cover but not much confidence in it.
Sac St vs Weber(+8.5) Weber is not very talented. Sac is but not playing like it at times. Weber is near the bottom of all the Defensive categories Sac wins and covers. The O/U is 54.5 and if you can get that line the over is the bet of the week
ISU @ MSU(-18.5) Griz beat the Bengals because they were able to generate pressure late that they couldn't in the first half. I don't think that is a problem for the Cats. They will move Cooke off his spot and do it without needing to blitz. Easy win and cover for the Cats
BSC tiers in my opinion
1. Cream of the crop
MSU, UM
2. Playoff worthy but not guaranteed
Davis, NAU
3.Big middle that could win a game they shouldn't
Idaho, Sac St, Cal Poly, ISU
4. Basement
EWU, PSU, Weber, UNC
Cal Poly @ UM(-18.5). Cal Poly is 3rd in the conference in passing and the griz are 9th in defense against it. They got exposed a bit last week so do they make the necessary adjustments? Griz are 1-4 vs these large spreads they've been getting only covering Indiana State.
Griz win but CP coversUNC @ Idaho(-16) Idaho are frauds. They have 2 wins and neither were impressive and UNC has a little defense.
Idaho wins but Bears CoverNAU @ Davis(-5) Davis is a Jekyll and Hyde team which shouldn't surprise with a freshman at QB. They also lost Rex Conners for the season which is a bummer for a kid with NFL talent. I wasn't super impressed with Pennington last week but they run an RPO scheme that doesn't work if O-line can hold up for any amount of time and the backend can cover well.
Gimmie the Aggies to win and cover but not much confidence in it.Sac St vs Weber(+8.5) Weber is not very talented. Sac is but not playing like it at times. Weber is near the bottom of all the Defensive categories
Sac wins and covers. The O/U is 54.5 and if you can get that line the over is the bet of the weekISU @ MSU(-18.5) Griz beat the Bengals because they were able to generate pressure late that they couldn't in the first half. I don't think that is a problem for the Cats. They will move Cooke off his spot and do it without needing to blitz.
Easy win and cover for the CatsBSC tiers in my opinion
1. Cream of the crop
MSU, UM
2. Playoff worthy but not guaranteed
Davis, NAU
3.Big middle that could win a game they shouldn't
Idaho, Sac St, Cal Poly, ISU
4. Basement
EWU, PSU, Weber, UNC