Scrogger wrote:Ok the what if game:
Currently:
UM 4-1
MSU 4-1
EWU 4-2
WSU 4-2
Next weeks is UM wins; EWU beats the Cats; and Weber beats PSU.
UM 5-1
MSU 4-2
EWU 5-2
WSU 5-2
Final Week: Cats over Griz:
WSU 5-2
EWU 5-2
MSU 5-2
UM 5-2
Who would get the Auto bid? and how do you decide on at-large?
EWU get the auto bid, based on beating 2 of the other 3 5-2 teams, and beating MSU head-to-head.
UM gets an at-large based on an 8-3 overall record, high ranking in the polls.
Depending on what happens with other conferences I think MSU will also get an at-large based on a 7-4 record with all D-I games and a good schedule, assuming after the loss to EWU MSU stays in the top 20 in the polls (which they should).
Here is a comparison of rankings, and I think this tracks pretty closely with GPI, so it should be pretty useful for figuring out relative strength. Note that using these rankings it is hard to believe MSU would fall far with a loss to EWU, and Um shouldn't fall far with a loss to MSU.
http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare1aa.htm
Note also this dilrod Elrod rankings, pretty much the definition of east coast bias (well Souther, or anti-west bias to be more accurate). Here is how he ranks some of the teams in the west:
UM #12
MSU #20
PSU #26
Cal Poly #35
NDSU #41
EWU #47
Weber State #49
UC Davis #52
At the same time here is his top 10:
#1 Appalachian State
#2 Texas State
#3 Hampton
#4 Ga Southern
#5 Furman
#6 New Hampshire
#7 UMass
#8 S Illinois
#9 Youngstown State
#10 W Kentucky
#11 W Carolina
So using his ranking, Montana would be the 5th best team in the Southern Conference, 4th best in the Gateway, and 3rd best in the A-10.
MSU would be the 6th best team in the Southern (just 1 spot ahead of Wofford, 5th in the Gateway, 5th in the A-10, 3rd in the Ivy, and 3rd in the MEAC. Basically according to this guys ranking MSU would be a bottom feeder in every other major conference.
To top it off, here is his rankings for I-A teams:
USC #5
Oregon #15